

Did Wenger Cut Off a Voodoo Priest in Traffic?
By: jg | September 7th, 2011I mean, come on, it’s a valid explanation. Did he?
Apologies for the lateness of this post. I have a tight schedule on weekdays, so writing and posting stuff is harder for me now. We’ll get back to regular programming this weekend for the Swansea game.
Injuries, well…. injuries SUCK. Seeing an important member of the team go down in a stretcher or in a spasm of pain, and then hearing the dreaded phrase “out for x-x+1 months”, is painful for any supporter. Alas, the worrying and at times tear-wrenching reality that are football/soccer injuries are a part of a supporter’s life. And while it is certainly true that every team of every league of every country suffers from their fair share of injuries throughout each season, I think every Arsenal fan can agree that we have suffered a not-so-fair load of injuries, both short and long term, especially over the last 4-5 years.

Obviously...
However, the notion that Arsenal are an injury-stricken club is conventional wisdom, and conventional wisdom is often times wrong (looking at you, spinach/carrots/Laffer curve myths). Do Arsenal really have bad luck when it comes to injuries?
Naturally, almost everyone will not only say “yes”, they would add “not bad luck, but Elmer Fudd bad luck”. Of course, I’m inclined to agree. But if there’s anything high school science class has taught me, it’s that you need to have cold, hard, data to prove your point (also, don’t confuse acid for Gatorade. Ever.). To that extent, I’ve created a nifty little table that shows our record of long-term injuries over the last 4 years:
(Long-term, in my view, is 2 months or more, and with a big impact on the team at the time.)


Notes correlate to the listing of injured players (e.g. Rosicky is the first player listed in both charts)
As you can see, I think it’s fairly clear that we have had an above average number of long-term and serious injuries over the last 4 years. Some of these injuries can be attributed to nothing but bad luck- Eduardo’s and Ramsey’s injury can only be blamed on Martin Taylor and Ryan Shawcross (respectively), two good ol’ English boys who were just showing how Arsenal “don’t like it up ‘em”, safe in the knowledge that they would be well protected by the repetitive “HE’S NOAT THAT KIND OF PLAYAHH!!!!!!!!1111!!!!SOBS” from the usual line of suspects.
But for some of the other injuries, it’s a combination of poor management, poor monitoring, and poor playing practices. And I think a lot of that can be traced back to Wenger. He has a record, often times a successful one, of blooding young players by making them jump off the deep end into First-Choice Land at an early age- Cesc in 2005, Clichy in 2006, Song/Denilson in 2008, Jack last year, and Gibbs, if it weren’t for his injuries (ahem), would have continued the trend this year. While some of the players he has brought out this way have turned out to be huge successes (Cesc and Jack immediately come to mind), this also increases their risk of burning out or getting injured at an earlier age, when they haven’t fully developed physically and thus run risk of some serious damage or stunt in their growth. Diaby is a perfect example of this- true, his injury was the result of a bad tackle, but getting such a bad injury at an early age has ruined his career with the persistent injuries that have followed. Jack, although he hasn’t landed in a bad tackle yet (knock on a huge, lumbering piece of wood), clearly showed signs of burnout at the tail end of last season, due to playing 40+ games at such an early age. Just that can be enough to cause physical fatigue and make it more likely to receive injuries, as Jack did this summer. Now, he’s out until at least late November, and our midfield will suffer for it.
Look at Manchester United, because we have to. They, too, have in recent year start putting younger players into the first team to make immediate contributions: Rooney, C. Ronaldo, Nani, Anderson, and recently Smalling and Cleverley are good examples of this. But while they were young when they became first-team regulars, they also had veteran players as their mentors and companions, to guide them and, yes, protect them. Not only did guys like Giggs, Scholes, G. Neville and Ferdinand help them and mold them into better footballers, they also made sure that they wouldn’t burn out or risk receiving debilitating injuries at an early age, thus ensuring they would stay in top chance for a longer part of their career. Unfortunately, that’s not happening at Arsenal. Imagine last year, if we had Scott Parker (we were never linked to him last year, so this is purely hypothetical). Would Wilshere have played as much as he did in reality? No. Would he have gotten a chance anyways and still shown what he was capable of? Probably yes. Would he have remained in top fitness and truly started this season in full throttle, improving our game and midfield overall? Definitely. The only downside of having experienced, veteran players is that for a 1-2 seasons, the young starlet will only average 15-20 games a season. But boy, those few games will ensure he has 10 seasons of 40-50 top class games for the years to come. Just a thought.
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