

Arsenal in the Group of Kinda Hard
By: Brenton | August 25th, 2011After a thrilling result on Wednesday, Arsenal were drawn as a top seed in the Champions League group draw today, Thursday August 25.
Being seeded meant we avoided such big names as Barcelona, Inter, Bayern and Madrid, but anyone who watches Champions League regularly knows that lower seeded teams can prove difficult. For every Romanian entry there are a few Italian surprises (watch out for Napoli, drawn from the fourth pot) and Russian menaces (Rubin Kazan as Barca’s bête noire recently).
Arsenal, though, will be relatively happy with the teams they’ve drawn this season. Group F is difficult but no Group of Death:
Arsenal
Olympic Marseille
Olympiakos
Borussia Dortmund
We really lucked out with the third round team: we could have faced Zenit St. Petersburg, Leverkusen, Ajax or Lille. A nightmare scenario for us could have been a draw that looked like this:
Arsenal
AC Milan
Lille (or Zenit, for the travel)
Dortmund
That definitely would have been worse than the group we have.
Dortmund as the fourth team for us is definitely a tough one. They were the clear German champions last year, and have an excellent team despite losing a key player in midfielder Nuri Sahin to Real Madrid. However, if you restack our group, it doesn’t look so bad:
Arsenal
Dortmund
OM
Olympiakos
Let’s go through our three opponents team-by-team to see how we fared.
Olympic Marseille (l’OM)
Marseille are a giant of French football, the only French team to have won the Champions League (1993) and the 2009-10 French Ligue 1 champions (2010-11 runners-up).
Their team includes supposed current and former Arsenal targets Loïc Rémy, Mathieu Valbuena, André Ayew and Lucho Gonzalez, as well as French internationals André-Pierre Gignac, Steve Mandanda and Alou Diarra. They are ably managed by French great Didier Deschamps, and they are perennial challengers for the French title.
They’ve drawn their first three matches this season, but make no mistake: this is an excellent side that will be extremely tough to beat in Marseille’s 60,000 seat Stade Vélodrome. Deschamps will likely look for a draw away, but our attackers should get the better of them at the Emirates.
Olympiakos
Olympiakos are a team that once (sort of) challenged in Europe; today they should be happy with a Europa League place. One of the more international of the Greek sides, they feature a few familiar names in Olof Mellberg (of Villa fame), Albert Reira (sometime Liverpool winger), a few Spanish players, as well as a few Greek internatationals.
They have dominated the Greek league recently, winning 13 of the last 15 league titles, and did well in the 2009-10 Champions League in a (-n albeit easy) group with Arsenal, placing second and beating us 1-0 in Greece (we fielded a team of partial reserves), before losing in the first knock-out round to Bordeaux.
We should beat them easily both home and away. If we struggle against them, I don’t like our chances of topping the group.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund were the surprise team of 2010-11, leading the German Bundesliga for most of the season and easily winning with several games left in the season. They were great in the 90s, making two Champions League finals (and winning the 97 final 3-1 over Juventus, then at the top of their game), then struggled in the middle of last decade before topping the Bundesliga table last season.
They feature a shocking array of attacking talent, players that you will hear more about over the next few seasons. The aforementioned Nuri Sahin has left to Madrid, but they still have in Mario Götze one of the best German midfielders around, exciting (and CR-esque) Paraguayan winger Lucas Barrios, and a fine attacking talent in Japanese stand-out Shinji Kagawa. Central defenders Neven Subotic and Mats Hummels led Dortmund to the best defensive record in the free-scoring Bundesliga last season, allowing just 22 goals in 34 games.
Jürgen Klopp is one of the best young managers in Europe, and will have his team ready for this run in a group they should do well in. Their away record over the past few seasons has been excellent, and they obviously have the defensive chops to try and shut up shop. At home, they have the 2nd-highest average attendances in European football, with over 77,000 regularly at their games, and their stadium is regularly chosen as having the best atmosphere in European football. If we could win and draw I would be happy.
Our chances of progressing
We should win this group, but Arsenal have a habit of making the group stages more difficult than they need to be, finishing second in three of the last four years. Both Dortmund and Marseille may prove to be very difficult, especially away. I hope they cancel each other out and each lose once to us; with three wins and three draws we should progress. Four wins (Olympiakos twice and the other two once each) and it’s almost certain.
So, yah, we should (fingers crossed) win our group, though a second-place finish would be in keeping with our recent history. It will likely mean a first round face-off with Barcelona with our luck, though we could also face Porto. Get the job done at home, boys, get a win in Greece, and we’re fine.
A loss in there somewhere and all bets are off. Both Marseille and Dortmund have the team to beat us on a bad day, and there is a real possibility that we could not make it through the group stage for the first time since 1999-2000, when a draw and loss to Fiorentina saw them go through at our expense. (A draw and loss to Rivaldo’s Barcelona didn’t help either.) We went on to lose the 2000 UEFA Cup final to Galatasaray on penalties.
Group stage games will run from mid-September to early-December. Our first match will be Tuesday September 13th in Dortmund, followed by a home game on the 28th against Olympiakos, a trip to Marseille on October 19th, the return leg of that on November 1st, hosting Dortmund November 23rd, and finishing with a trip to Greece on December 6th.
I’m mildly optimistic. Mildly. Up the Arsenal!
——————————————————-
A look at other groups
Group A
Bayern Munich
Villareal
Manchester City
Napoli
Our Group F is certainly easier than Group A. That’s a tough draw for City; no luck to ‘em. Munich are always contenders, Villareal play excellent football, and Napoli have a team to challenge anyone.
Group B
Inter Milan
CSKA Moscow
Lille
Trabzonspor
Lille should make this group interesting, though trips to Turkey and Moscow will be difficult for both them and Inter.
Group C
Manchester United
Benfica
Basel
Otelul Galati (?)
United get one of the easy groups. I’m not even going to look up the 4th team; Hungary? Romania? Bulgaria? Benfica are good for second but United should handle them.
Group D
Real Madrid
Lyon
Ajax
Dinamo Zagreb
Ajax, though a shadow of their former self, may cause troubles, and Lyon have an excellent history against the Spanish giants. Zagreb probably aren’t really that tough to face at home anymore; this isn’t Red Star in the 90s.
Group E
Chelsea
Valencia
Bayer Leverkusen
Genk (Belgium)
Leverkusen and Valencia may battle for second, though I wouldn’t bet against Valencia taking top spot. Belgian champions Genk are lambs to the slaughter. This is a pretty tough group, and one team will be disappointed with a Europa spot.
Group F
Arsenal
Olympic Marseille
Olympiakos
Borussia Dortmund
Group G
Porto
Shakhtar Donetsk
Zenit St. Petersburg
APOEL Nicosia (Cyprus)
All of these clubs are smiling wide tonight. One of Shakhtar and Zenit will make it through to the first knock-out round, when really they should be headed for Europa League rounds. I’m looking forward to seeing former Arsenal man Eduardo in action for Shakhtar again, as well as Jádson and Willian, both rumoured Arsenal targets.
Group H
Barcelona
AC Milan
BATE Borisov (Belarus)
Viktoria Plzen (Czech)
It will be fun to watch Barca and Milan fight it out for first. And mildly interesting to see if either of the other two can score. Good luck to them, though.
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