

Should Arsenal go 4-4-2?
By: Darren_v | June 29th, 2011So it’s transfer season, and everyone is in a tizzy with rumors of whether Cesc Fabregas and Samir Nasri are going to stay or go, when Clichy, Bendtner and Denilson will say good-bye, and who may or may not be coming to Arsenal to be our saviour with the required mental strength, leadership desire. This must be very interesting to most people as every blogger will tell you that the most hits they get in a month are during the transfer windows. Now, I could sit here and tell you what I think of Cesc’ desire of being in London and Barcelona at the same time (an impressive feat, if he can manage it), and whether he should be captain, and if he was truly injured last season, or if it was just in his head. But I truly cannot sit here and think I know more than you, or than Joe Blow next to you since we all read the same newspapers and blogs, and none of us truly know without speaking to Cesc himself. It’s all nonsense to me, and please wake me when something actually happens.
At the end of the season when Arsenal were absolutely dire and painful to watch, there came a cry from more than one section of the Arsenal blogosphere that Arsenal’s formation was the problem and should revert back to the old tried and tested 4-4-2. After all, that is what the Invincibles played, and the formation that Arsenal have experienced the most success in. But is this old formation the way forward for Arsenal?
Arsenal have been playing their own variation of the 4-2-3-1 for the better part of two seasons now. It generally looks something like:

The arrows show the basic tendencies of player in each position. Fullbacks bomb forward, providing the width. Wilshere and Song giving cover where needed, with Wilshere having more a license to go forward. Fabregas goes where ever he needs to collect and distribute the ball. Nasri and Arshavin come off the left flank as inverted wingers, rarely going down the line. Van Persie’s job is to find open space by dropping off the opposition centre-backs and have midfield runners come off him, or roll off their shoulders for a ball over the top. Walcott is the outlet for long balls over a high line and to cause fear amongst the EPL’s left backs if they push too high off the ball.
What would the current Arsenal squad look like in the 4-4-2 though?

The first thing you notice in the 4-4-2 is that Chamakh is now in the lineup, and you now have to make a choice between our three best central midfielders. There is simply no way you can play Wilshere, Fabregas and Song in the same team with the formation like this unless you move one of them out wide as a conventional winger, which we all know is not any of their strengths. So what to do? You must play Song as he is the only Gunner with a clue about defensive midfield duties, unless you want to play the 19 year old, attacking midfielder for all his life, Wilshere as the nominal defensive midfielder. The choice then becomes between either Fabregas, one of the best midfielders in the world, or Wilshere. And yes, we are assuming Cesc Fabregas is still at Arsenal come September. I wonder how many people will claim Arsenal is better with one of these two off the the pitch, than on it together?
Personnel is not the only issue I have with the 4-4-2 however, as there is a greater problem with the formation in this era of football. For it is now a game of possession, and the team with the most possession generally creates the most chances, and that in turn gives you the best chance at winning. Now of course we all know this isn’t necessarily true in every game, but this theory remains true and steadfast over the long run of a season. The best way to dominate possession is typically by dominating the middle of the pitch, as that is where the ball will naturally go to the most. He who controls the centre, controls the game. More and more clubs and nations are realizing this, and are playing with more players as central-type midfielders. In the 2010 World Cup in South Africa, it was noted that 3 of the 4 semi-finalists nations played with a variation of the 4-2-3-1, with Uruguay the lone exception. Uruguay however, played Diego Forlan in a free role, dropping back into an advanced midfield, not unlike Wayne Rooney’s role at the end of this past season. Uruguay though, benefited from a large amount of luck in terms of the nations they had to face to get to the semis, and statistically were clearly the weakest team left.
The trend to packing the centre of the pitch is obvious wherever you look. Barcelona have been absolutely dominate in recent years, using Iniesta, Xavi and Busquets to control the centre circle. Inter Milan during their double winning season used three in the middle, having Sneijder drop into the middle of the pitch and creating from a ‘withdrawn forward’ position. Chelsea have played a diamond formation in the middle of the pitch since the Mourinho days, and is something that every club Mourinho goes to, plays. With players so athletic and fit, two midfielders simply get over-run by runners through the middle, a problem compounded by more and more clubs playing with inverted wingers that cut through the middle. And with fullbacks providing the width defenders are unable to cheat infield to help out. If Arsenal were to adapt the 4-4-2, this is how the pitch would look against Barcelona:

Take a look at the middle of the pitch and it’s painfully obvious that Arsenal are out manned in the centre of the pitch, against the best in the world. The only solution would be to drop Van Persie to occupy Busquets, basically playing as a 2nd striker. Now we all know Van Persie is not always the most studious in tracking back through the middle, and it’s not one of his many strengths in the game. Now matches are not won and lost through formations, but through individual battles all over the pitch. In order to give your squad the best chance at winning those battles can be achieved by not being out numbered in vital areas, playing your players in positions to succeed rather than to fail and by simply having the better players.
So where is the issue with the Arsenal squad, if it isn’t formation? Why did Arsenal struggle mightily at the ‘business end of the season’? I believe the squad is too one paced, and too many players with similar skill sets. Fabregas, Nasri, Arshavin, Wilshere, Ramsey, Denilson, Diaby, Rosicky all look to come to the ball, prefer the ball in their feet with close control, and rarely look to get beyond defenders without. Chamakh and Bendtner are fairly immobile players with good heading ability and should be played in the central striker role, a role best played by Van Persie who’s movement, ability to find space between the lines, and technical ability are superb. Walcott is the lone Arsenal player who excels by running unto balls, rather than to the ball. Only one player with this quality at a club like Arsenal is simply staggering. The Invincibles had the likes of Henry, Pires, and Ljungberg eagerly latching onto through balls, with players like Bergkamp and Vieira moving to the ball, and distributing it. It is not a coincidence that Arsenal are at their best with ‘Theo Van Nasgres’ together on the feild and have a massive drop off without them. They offer different forms of attack, whereas the rest of the squad is too similar. Alex Song is the lone defensive minded midfielder in the squad. The only one who’s greatest strengths are tackling, breaking up plays and getting his head on the ball. With a squad of terrific individual defenders, it’s no wonder that on a whole they look absolutely shambolic and ready to crumble under pressure when there is only one midfielder with a defensive skill set. The cover and competition is simply not there to prolong the inevitable, that is, defensive howlers.
Arsenal are not in need or a new formation. They are in need of variations to the way they play, which does not include ‘cross into the box wildly in hopes one of our midgets will beat Terry or Vidic or Samba in the air.’ Arsenal need another winger or two that looks to get beyond defenders, rather than coming to the ball every time, and someone other than Arshavin and Nasri who is willing to go one v one without fear of losing the ball and just pass sideways for the 483th time. Arsenal are not in need of Chris Samba, a lumbering oaf with ‘physical presence’, but more organization and training on the practice pitch in regard to set pieces, and more competition for Song to help protect the back four.
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